Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.077737 0.091756 0.107444 0.126282 0.148270 0.173106 0.203272
2025-05-25 0.054298 0.071825 0.093630 0.122676 0.160272 0.207210 0.270178
2025-06-01 0.042041 0.060777 0.086086 0.122605 0.173765 0.242678 0.342316
2025-06-08 0.033539 0.052227 0.079260 0.120940 0.183258 0.272583 0.409861
2025-06-15 0.028630 0.047540 0.076556 0.123907 0.198744 0.311823 0.494798
2025-06-22 0.023972 0.042205 0.071725 0.122439 0.206704 0.340196 0.566389
2025-06-29 0.020042 0.037256 0.066540 0.119292 0.211059 0.362857 0.631093
2025-07-06 0.016799 0.032861 0.061485 0.115381 0.213226 0.381692 0.691155
2025-07-13 0.015068 0.030882 0.060282 0.117906 0.226641 0.420743 0.789954
2025-07-20 0.013392 0.028698 0.058329 0.118671 0.236786 0.454965 0.883867
2025-07-27 0.011985 0.026802 0.056608 0.119551 0.247106 0.490441 0.983851
2025-08-03 0.010888 0.025354 0.055536 0.121504 0.259640 0.531281 1.098353
2025-08-10 0.010088 0.024451 0.055515 0.125743 0.277597 0.585204 1.245852
2025-08-17 0.008710 0.022008 0.051866 0.121776 0.278039 0.604411 1.326136
2025-08-24 0.007808 0.020521 0.050088 0.121630 0.286588 0.641104 1.446702
2025-08-31 0.006925 0.018920 0.047797 0.119962 0.291488 0.670531 1.554997
2025-09-07 0.006431 0.018212 0.047499 0.122902 0.307213 0.725077 1.724131
2025-09-14 0.005750 0.016893 0.045508 0.121445 0.312397 0.756664 1.845207
2025-09-21 0.005072 0.015456 0.043000 0.118323 0.313119 0.778058 1.945130
2025-09-28 0.004447 0.014049 0.040351 0.114442 0.311417 0.793508 2.032668
2025-10-05 0.004158 0.013576 0.040129 0.116948 0.326307 0.850364 2.226272
2025-10-12 0.003830 0.012922 0.039308 0.117707 0.336719 0.897348 2.400612
2025-10-19 0.003538 0.012327 0.038566 0.118579 0.347549 0.946546 2.585849